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Monday Night Football Betting Picks September 23: Jaguars vs. Bills, Commanders vs. Bengals


December 31, 2023; Jacksonville, Florida, USA; Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence (16) before the game against the Carolina Panthers at EverBank Stadium. Photo: Morgan Tenza-USA TODAY Sports

We’re finishing Week 3 with a doubleheader on Monday night, so it’s a great night for those with two TVs in their main room. The Buffalo Bills are the main team and looking to improve to 3-0.

Not every game is a win for one team. The Jacksonville Jaguars are trying to bounce back from an 0-3 deficit against the Bills. The Cincinnati Bengals are also looking for their first win as they host the Washington Redskins.

Buffalo’s offense hasn’t been pass-dependent, but no one misses former star wideout Stefon Diggs. Cincinnati is used to this situation, starting 0-2 in five of the last six seasons. In 2022, they recovered to reach the AFC Championship Game.

Let’s examine three betting predictions.

When will Trevor Lawrence step up?

Big things were expected of Trevor Lawrence when the Jacksonville Jaguars selected him with the No. 1 overall pick in 2021. His second season was solid, but he regressed last season, and his play is a major reason the Jaguars are faltering this season.

Lawrence Received a five-year, $275 million extension In the offseason, however, he hasn’t played like a great quarterback. He’s completing just 51 percent of his passes, and Jacksonville ranks 27th in scoring with just 15 points per game.

The Bills are 2-0 and are leading the way despite star quarterback Josh Allen throwing a total of 42 passes in two contests. Allen has thrown three touchdown passes while helping Buffalo rank third in the NFL in scoring offense with 32.5 points per game.

The biggest task for Allen is to avoid Jacksonville star Josh Hines-Allen, formerly known as Josh Allen. In 2021, Jacksonville beat the Bills 9-6, and Hines-Allen made an interception, recovered a fumble by Allen, and got a sack.

Bills -5.5 Spread, -110 (DraftKings)

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Breakthrough time for Bengal

The Bengals were beaten by the New England Patriots in Week 1 and lost to the Kansas City Chiefs on a last second field goal last week. Now Cincinnati is trying to get out of this predicament and has a scheduling gift in the form of the Carolina Panthers in Week 4, so getting to the .500 mark is possible.

One great development is that receiver Tee Higgins is making his season debut after being out with a hamstring injury. That also means fewer double teams for star wideout Ja’Marr Chase and another top target for quarterback Joe Burrow on his radar.

Washington will look to control this contest on the ground as it is scoring 176.5 yards per game with Bryan Robinson (173) off to a stellar start. Rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels He has added 132 passes on the field and completed 75.5 percent of his passes, but he has also been sacked seven times.

Veteran linebacker Bobby Wagner (19 tackles, four for loss) is fitting in well on the defense playing for coach Dan Quinn, his former defensive coordinator with the Seattle Seahawks. Expect the Commanders to be in this game until the end, even if Cincinnati escapes with the win.

Commanders +7, -108 (DraftKings)

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There are plenty of prop bets as there are two games

Allen (228.5, -113) has passed for only 371 yards in two games despite completing 73.8 percent of his passes. Is it time for a big performance? James Cook (61.5, -113) has passed for 149 yards and is getting 15 carries per game.

Lawrence (222.5, -113) has thrown the ball for 382 yards, but he needs to get closer to his career completion percentage (63.4) to be a true purchase. Former Buffalo wideout Gabriel Davis (38.5, -113) could be a worthy option, as he can match his targets with just three catches.

Burrow (261.5, -113) has 422 passing yards, and Higgins’ return should increase his production. Chase (80.5, -113) will have more opportunities to cut loose, while Higgins (44.5, -113) will perform well after shaking off the rust.

Daniels (195.5, -113) is the wild card in his first game on the Monday Night Football stage. If Washington can control the ball, Robinson (53.5, -113) could be in for another solid game.

Trevor Lawrence under 222.5 passing yards, -113 (FanDuel)

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