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MLB best sports betting picks and predictions for Wednesday September 4, 2024

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The game opened for the Baltimore Orioles on Tuesday with a bases loaded bunt in shallow left field that saw the White Sox slide toward another defeat and move closer to history.

Chicago now must play .500 baseball the rest of the game to avoid tying the 1962 New York Mets for most losses in the modern era.

And the Mets had the excuse of being an expansion team.

The White Sox have existed in one form or another since 1901. Right now, the team exists to provide you with everyday value.

Here are our best odds for September 4th.

Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles

I’m not going to prepare like that and then back the Orioles to do the job.

Yes, that margin is tough, but it’s actually not such a bad situation for Baltimore. The Orioles are 6-0 ATS against the White Sox this season (plus 6-0 SU, but that’s obvious), and they’ve won the last three meetings by at least three runs.

In the two games played in Maryland, Baltimore attacks Chicagowon by a combined score of 22-3. The White Sox held a two-run margin in the first three meetings, but those occurred in Chicago and before the Pale Hose had traded away any valuable players. Chicago has fully committed to this all-out demolition, even if it makes the wrong kind of history.

The White Sox are now essentially sending the Charlotte Knights to face one of the best teams in the American League. This is probably not going to go well for them.

Orioles -2.5 (-105 at BetMGM)

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Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets

Facing the White Sox three times can thrill anyone. But even outside of that tonic, the Mets are hot. New York has won 11 of 15, and most of those have come against playoff teams. Before facing Chicago and Boston, the Mets faced Baltimore, San Diego and Arizona. They won two series and split with the Padres, going 6-4 through that thorn bush patch. The Mets’ surge is real.

And that’s as it should be, because it’s becoming clear that only one of the Braves or the Mets is going to make the playoffs. Neither of them has enough time to catch Philadelphia, and the Padres and Diamondbacks aren’t losing enough ground right now. One of these teams is going to be the No. 6 seed, and the Mets are responding well to the pressure. Tyler Megill has pitched well in his last two starts, and Boston is losing its firepower now that it looks hard to catch up for the wild card.

Mets Moneyline (-105 at BetMGM)

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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Collin Rea really needs some time off. Milwaukee keeps sending him on the field because they keep winning with him on the field, but right now he’s not really performing well. Rea Had a strong performance against ClevelandBut his three starts have yielded 14 earned runs and eight home runs. In the postseason, that won’t work.

However, Milwaukee is the motivated team, as St. Louis is too far out of the running to be in a real race. The Cardinals would have to make up five games on both Atlanta and New York to get into the No. 6 spot, which is impossible. Add to that that Milwaukee is 7-1 in Reed’s last eight starts, and it doesn’t make sense to go with the moneyline.

Instead, back the Cardinals to put some runs on the board. Outside of the Cleveland shutout, Rea’s last four opponents have scored four, five and seven runs against the Brewers. St. Louis is capable of putting up four runs.

Cardinals Team Total Score Over 3.5 (-130 on ESPN Bet)

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